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Budget Analysis

Each year, on the day after the annual Budget is announced, Social Justice Ireland produces an analysis and critique of that Budget. Included in that document is an assessment of the direct distributive impact of the measures announced by Government. These principally capture changes to income taxes, welfare payments and other universal payments/entitlements.  This document reproduces the most recent analysis, following Budget 2016, and also provides more details on the approach taken by Social Justice Ireland to generate these results.

Budget 2016 was the fifth regressive Budget in a row. While it was not as regressive as in previous years and contained some gain for everyone, there was much more for the better off and far less for poor and vulnerable people. 

While single unemployed people will gain €95 a year, single people earning €75,000 will gain almost ten times as much i.e. €902.  In the case of couples, the unemployed will gain €157 a year while a couple with two earners on €125,000 a year will gain nine times as much i.e. an extra €1,408 a year.

Social Justice Ireland's policy briefing Budget 2016 Analysis and Critique is available below.

The expenditure and taxation changes in successive budgets have had a significant impact on households in Ireland, particularly those with children and on low incomes.  In advance of Budget 2016 being announced on 13th October Social Justice Ireland presents an examination of the impact of successive Budgets from 2009 to 2015 on families and low income households in Ireland.

Social Justice Ireland welcomes the publication of the ESRI Special Article examining the ‘Distributional Impact of Tax, Welfare and Public Service Pay Policies: Budget 2015 and Budgets 2009-2015’.  The ESRI report confirms Social Justice Ireland’s analysis that Budget 2015 was the fourth regressive budget in a row and a budget which widened the rich-poor gap.

Fourth regressive Budget in a row

Budget 2015 is the fourth regressive budget in a row.  While it contains a number of welcome initiatives and positive developments, overall the Budget is deeply disappointing.

Social Justice Ireland's analysis and critique of Budget 2015 is available to read below.

Budget 2014 provides no guiding vision, no real sense of direction for Ireland’s future, and no sustainable solutions to the major challenges Ireland faces.

Budget 2014 provides no guiding vision, no real sense of direction for Ireland’s future, and no sustainable solutions to the major challenges Ireland faces. As well as this the budget numbers do not add up.

Government claims that Budget 2013 was “as fair as it could be” are untrue.

For the second year in a row this Government introduced a Budget that was deeply regressive, both socially and economically. It did nothing to foster economic recovery or to provide a vision and direction for the country.

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